Maharashtra politics from a 85 year old Congi

In one of the very rare Dad to Son moments, my 85 year old dad called me and very eloquently gave me his take on the recent Maharashtra politics. He even insisted that I pen it down.

Though, I could not much agree with his views, it was an occasion to savour where he could speak for an hour and I would want to constantly interrupt but stayed speechless.

So here please allow me to present his views :

The midnight coup by BJP would have been quite possible and successful only if the Supreme Court had not intervened in the decision given by the Governor. The Guv had given about 15 days to the BJP to prove their majority on the floor, while the SC in their haste, just granted 24 hours to the BJP. An open ballot was sought for and BJP was left with no choice.

Let it also be known that Ajit Pawar has a very limited influence on his cadre, most of who are still Sharad Pawar loyalists. Which also brings us to the next important question. Why did Sharadji not deflect towards his nephew or the BJP ? Being a shrewd politician, he quickly realised that his party in general and he in particular would be immediately marginalised in the Maharashtra politics. His rigid control on the Maha hinterland is unimaginable and the kind of power he wields over these folks could be a study subject matter in any MBA institute.

Though Congress seems to be on a downside for now, Sharad Pawar is aware that he is more likely to win more seats with the Cong than siding with the saffron BJP. Another thing to note is that, however unlikely it might look when you write it or even worse the way it sounds... the Sena -NCP - Congress .. combine will probably stand the test of time and provide a "stable" Government for a full 5 years.

It's just a matter of zero sum game. No one has anything to lose but everything to gain. Sena can never hope to get into a Govt without any support. NCP is good in the hinterland of Maha but never good enough to be in power. Congress was never popular in Maha and already on it's way down. It's very unlikely that NCP or Cong would create any kind of hurdle in the smooth running of the Govt and the overall governance

From a perspective of politics, it would appear that Ajit Pawar lost his credibility within the party as well as within the Pawar loyalists and family. Will Ajit go away from the Pawar power? Are we seeing another MNS ? Finally, BJP is fast losing it's sheen. MP, Rajasthan, CG .... I wonder if this is a graph that's sliding down or are like me ... waiting for another resurgence? Time will tell

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